Climate Analogues Tool

The Climate Analogues Tool of the CGIAR Research Programme on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS) provides climate analogues for any place in the world. These are places that in the present time have the future climate of other places given trends in clomate change. This is valuable for planning for climate change mitigations, using real life present day examples. Spatial analogues identify areas whose climate today appears as a likely analogue to future projected climate for another location, and thus represent promising areas for comparative research on adaptation plans. For instance, the tool could be used to arrange farmer exchanges between climatic analogue sites to improve knowledge sharing among communities (at the most basic, local, and small scale) and to provide research opportunities to study whether successful adaptation options in one place are transferrable to a future climatic analogue site (at a larger, more global scale). In that vein, research may seek to identify possible social, cultural, institutional, or economic obstacles to adaptive change. Temporal analogues make use of past climates as representative time series of future climate, allowing us to identify historic events that might provide insight into the possible future consequences of climate change. In particular, historical data can show us about past behavioral change and how agricultural communities successfully adapt or fail to do so. These case studies can be analyzed for lessons learned, thus building understanding on the best ways to improve climate resilience or enable adaptation.

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